• September 16th, 2011, 03:22 PM
Sean4u
BBC News - Nasa satellite UARS nearing Earth 'could land anywhere'

Totally Off Topic for sure. Will you be checking in the last two hours?
Quote:

Nasa said scientists would only be able to make more accurate predictions about where the satellite might land two hours before
Not sure what the right term is for what I assume will happen to NASA's authoritative web page on the subject. Splashspotted?
• September 16th, 2011, 04:47 PM
JavaPF
• September 16th, 2011, 05:11 PM
Sean4u
Quote:

Imagine
:shudder: I think I might check NASA's site nearer the time. This must be how tenpins feel...
• September 21st, 2011, 03:32 PM
Sean4u
She's breaking up!
• September 21st, 2011, 04:06 PM
newbie
Anyone saying It's a satellite are kidding themselves.
It's obviously an alien space ship who's doing a reccy for an attack. Only the Lord can save us now :)

On-topic: Those are some awesome images :P
• September 21st, 2011, 05:53 PM
copeg
Odds of you being hit ~ 1 in 21 trillion. Putting this in perspective, the odds of getting hit by lightning in a given year: ~ 1 in a million. ;)
• September 21st, 2011, 06:20 PM
newbie
Quote:

Originally Posted by copeg
Odds of you being hit ~ 1 in 21 trillion. Putting this in perspective, the odds of getting hit by lightning in a given year: ~ 1 in a million. ;)

Putting this in perspective, The odds are 1 out of 10,000 (.001%) that you will get injured by a toilet this year.
- San Diego Union, 5/29/07
• September 21st, 2011, 06:40 PM
copeg
Quote:

Originally Posted by newbie
Putting this in perspective, The odds are 1 out of 10,000 (.001%) that you will get injured by a toilet this year.
- San Diego Union, 5/29/07

Hehe, and 1 in 4 make up their own statistics :cool:
• September 21st, 2011, 09:09 PM
helloworld922
5 out of 4 people don't understand statistics ;)
• September 22nd, 2011, 03:54 AM
Sean4u
Quote:

Odds of you being hit ~ 1 in 21 trillion
Odds of you laughing it off if you are the '1': 0 :D

NASA says 1 in 3,200. Are they dividing footprint area / possible landing area? Is your 1 in 21 tn 'hit by an intact fuel tank' or does it also include the speck of hot metal that makes a tiny hole in your styrofoam coffee cup? Don't try to tell me you wouldn't tell the 'satellite hit my coffee cup' story if it happened to you!
• September 22nd, 2011, 07:54 AM
KevinWorkman
I want a piece of it!
• September 22nd, 2011, 08:52 AM
copeg
Quote:

5 out of 4 people don't understand statistics
:)

Quote:

NASA says 1 in 3,200
Like I said, 1/4 make up their own statistics :) Odds are 1/3200 that someone will get hit - anyone. Take into account the population of the predicted impact area, that works out to 1 in many trillion that it will hit me (or anyone contributing to this thread for that matter).
• September 22nd, 2011, 09:01 AM
newbie
I'd like to place a £1 stake on copeg being hit by the Satellite please. :)
• September 22nd, 2011, 09:21 AM
Sean4u
Quote:

I'd like to place a £1 stake on copeg being hit by the Satellite please.
Maybe copeg will offer you the 21tn:1 deal on anyone being hit - he'll make sure to stand in crowded places on the day, just in case!
• September 22nd, 2011, 09:25 AM
KevinWorkman
Eh, it might not even hurt that bad: 14-year-old hit by 30,000 mph space meteorite - Telegraph
• September 22nd, 2011, 09:39 AM
JavaPF
Statistically 6 out of 7 dwarfs aren't happy..
• September 22nd, 2011, 01:19 PM
Sean4u
BBC News - Nasa refines satellite crash time

Quote:

expected to crash to Earth sometime on Friday evening (GMT).
Quote:

the spacecraft would "not be passing over North America" when it is expected to be pulled through the atmosphere to Earth
Quote:

The spacecraft could pass over Britain during its final passes over the planet.
Maybe I should start offering odds on my own demise - I could make some money!
• September 22nd, 2011, 01:25 PM
newbie
Quote:

Originally Posted by JavaPF
Statistically 6 out of 7 dwarfs aren't happy..

Haha ace :P
• September 23rd, 2011, 03:19 AM
JavaPF